Outliers

Listings sitting >1σ from the within-filter mean, plus the strongest negative residuals from the multi-factor hedonic fit.

Best buys — price z-score (within filter)

Listings priced >1σ below the mean of their filter. Pure cross-section, no mileage/year control.

FilterListingPriceMilesz
Ferrari Portofino 2020 Ferrari Portofino Convertible RWD $147,944 55,949 -3.11 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus Performante 2023 Lamborghini Urus Performante AWD $240,999 38,220 -2.96 view ↗
911 GT3 Coupe (992.2, wing) 2025 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $292,950 5,742 -2.9 view ↗
911 GT3 Coupe (992.1, wing) 2022 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $225,235 8,142 -2.86 view ↗
BMW M3 Competition xDrive (G80) 2023 BMW M3 Competition xDrive AWD $70,707 56,327 -2.85 view ↗
911 GT3 Coupe (992.2, wing) 2026 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $294,996 3,147 -2.75 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus S 2023 Lamborghini Urus S AWD $214,900 29,780 -2.71 view ↗
Ferrari 812 GTS 2021 Ferrari 812 GTS RWD $599,650 19,597 -2.56 view ↗
Ferrari Roma Spider 2025 Ferrari Roma Spider RWD $259,998 6,528 -2.53 view ↗
Lamborghini Huracan LP 580-2 (RWD) 2018 Lamborghini Huracan LP 580-2 Coupe RWD $179,995 39,525 -2.5 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus Performante 2023 Lamborghini Urus Performante AWD $249,999 35,878 -2.47 view ↗
McLaren 570S Spider 2018 McLaren 570S Spider RWD $111,999 62,000 -2.47 view ↗
McLaren 750S Spider 2025 McLaren 750S Spider RWD $319,740 4,483 -2.46 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus S 2023 Lamborghini Urus S AWD $219,000 33,198 -2.39 view ↗
911 GT3 Coupe (992.2, wing) 2026 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $299,950 170 -2.39 view ↗
Ferrari F8 Spider 2021 Ferrari F8 Spider RWD $486,996 24,472 -2.36 view ↗
Ferrari Portofino M 2022 Ferrari Portofino M RWD $242,500 13,303 -2.32 view ↗
Ferrari 812 Superfast 2019 Ferrari 812 Superfast RWD $379,995 33,168 -2.31 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus S 2024 Lamborghini Urus S AWD $219,990 40,750 -2.31 view ↗
Ferrari Portofino M 2022 Ferrari Portofino M RWD $242,900 7,316 -2.3 view ↗
BMW M3 Competition xDrive (G80) 2023 BMW M3 Competition xDrive AWD $73,991 46,902 -2.29 view ↗
BMW M3 Competition xDrive (G80) 2022 BMW M3 Competition xDrive AWD $74,000 48,203 -2.29 view ↗
Cayenne GTS (9YB, 2025+) 2025 Porsche Cayenne GTS AWD $101,980 33,405 -2.29 view ↗
Cayenne GTS Coupe (9YB, 2025+) 2025 Porsche Cayenne Coupe GTS AWD $107,995 7,438 -2.27 view ↗
Ferrari 488 GTB 2018 Ferrari 488 GTB Coupe RWD $219,950 14,076 -2.26 view ↗
Lamborghini Huracan LP 610-4 Spyder 2015 Lamborghini Huracan LP 610-4 $180,235 78,066 -2.26 view ↗
Ferrari 296 GTB 2022 Ferrari 296 GTB RWD $287,200 5,104 -2.25 view ↗
Lamborghini Huracan LP 580-2 (RWD) 2018 Lamborghini Huracan LP 580-2 Spyder Convertible RWD $184,999 44,495 -2.25 view ↗
Huracan Tecnica 2023 Lamborghini Huracan Tecnica RWD $338,899 5,606 -2.22 view ↗
McLaren 600LT 2019 McLaren 600LT Coupe RWD $199,997 28,120 -2.21 view ↗

Hedonic best buys (year + miles + body + deal-rating controlled)

Largest negative residuals from the multi-factor regression — cars cheap relative to a fair-value estimate that already accounts for age, miles, body style, and CarGurus deal rating.

FilterListingPriceFairResidualz
Porsche Cayenne Turbo GT 2026 Porsche Cayenne Turbo GT AWD $169,895 $217,100 −$47,200 -4.39 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus 2020 Lamborghini Urus AWD $179,993 $204,000 −$24,000 -4.05 view ↗
Aston Martin DBX 2024 Aston Martin DBX AWD $149,995 $198,300 −$48,300 -3.89 view ↗
Bentley Continental GTC (Mk2, 2011-2018) 2016 Bentley Continental GTC W12 AWD $64,950 $96,900 −$32,000 -3.86 view ↗
Ferrari F12 Berlinetta 2017 Ferrari F12 Berlinetta Coupe $299,995 $528,300 −$228,300 -3.83 view ↗
911 GT3 Coupe (992.2, wing) 2026 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $306,747 $342,400 −$35,600 -3.66 view ↗
Bentley Flying Spur (Mk2, 2014-2019) 2018 Bentley Flying Spur W12 S AWD $59,950 $82,600 −$22,600 -3.59 view ↗
Bentley Bentayga (2023+ facelift) 2023 Bentley Bentayga Hybrid AWD $119,996 $173,700 −$53,700 -3.56 view ↗
McLaren 750S Spider 2025 McLaren 750S Spider RWD $319,740 $366,600 −$46,900 -3.56 view ↗
Ferrari 488 GTB 2018 Ferrari 488 GTB Coupe RWD $219,950 $326,000 −$106,000 -3.33 view ↗
Bentley Flying Spur (Mk2, 2014-2019) 2016 Bentley Flying Spur V8 AWD $54,985 $75,900 −$20,900 -3.32 view ↗
Ferrari 488 GTB 2018 Ferrari 488 GTB Coupe RWD $279,989 $384,400 −$104,400 -3.28 view ↗
Cayenne GTS Coupe (9YA, 2022-2024) 2023 Porsche Cayenne Coupe GTS AWD $75,000 $90,100 −$15,100 -3.25 view ↗
Ferrari Portofino 2020 Ferrari Portofino Convertible RWD $147,944 $173,800 −$25,800 -3.19 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus Performante 2024 Lamborghini Urus Performante AWD $299,900 $320,900 −$21,000 -3.19 view ↗
Mercedes-AMG G63 (W463A facelift, 2025+) 2026 Mercedes-Benz G-Class AMG G 63 4MATIC $216,995 $231,400 −$14,400 -3.17 view ↗
Bentley Continental GTC (Mk3, 2019+) 2024 Bentley Continental GTC V8 AWD $230,000 $270,200 −$40,200 -3.02 view ↗
Aston Martin DBX 2024 Aston Martin DBX AWD $118,810 $156,100 −$37,300 -3 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus S 2024 Lamborghini Urus S AWD $240,037 $255,000 −$14,900 -3 view ↗
911 GT3 Coupe (992.2, wing) 2026 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $299,950 $328,500 −$28,600 -2.93 view ↗
Bentley Continental GT (Mk3, 2018+) 2024 Bentley Continental GT Edition 8 AWD $196,885 $239,800 −$42,900 -2.91 view ↗
Aston Martin DBX 2023 Aston Martin DBX AWD $125,573 $160,900 −$35,400 -2.85 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus 2020 Lamborghini Urus AWD $156,898 $173,800 −$16,900 -2.85 view ↗
Lamborghini Aventador S Coupe 2018 Lamborghini Aventador LP 740-4 S Coupe AWD $399,995 $542,000 −$142,100 -2.84 view ↗
Bentley Continental GT (Mk3, 2018+) 2024 Bentley Continental GT V8 AWD $206,495 $248,200 −$41,700 -2.83 view ↗
Ferrari 458 Spider 2015 Ferrari 458 Italia Spider RWD $349,995 $581,100 −$231,100 -2.81 view ↗
Cayenne GTS (9YB, 2025+) 2025 Porsche Cayenne GTS AWD $106,920 $129,400 −$22,500 -2.81 view ↗
Ferrari 458 Italia 2014 Ferrari 458 Italia RWD $498,996 $810,300 −$311,300 -2.76 view ↗
Mercedes-AMG G63 (W463A pre-facelift, 2019-2024) 2024 Mercedes-Benz G-Class AMG G 63 4MATIC $167,498 $178,200 −$10,700 -2.76 view ↗
Cayenne GTS (9YB, 2025+) 2025 Porsche Cayenne GTS AWD $106,235 $128,100 −$21,900 -2.74 view ↗

Ambitious asks (price z-score > +1.0)

Listings priced well above the within-filter mean.

FilterListingPriceMilesz
Ferrari SF90 Spider 2022 Ferrari SF90 Spider AWD $1,200,000 515 5.81 view ↗
911 GT2 RS (991.2, 2018-2019) 2019 Porsche 911 GT2 RS Coupe RWD $1,999,999 193 5.59 view ↗
Ferrari SF90 Stradale 2024 Ferrari SF90 XX Stradale AWD $2,450,000 2,342 5.52 view ↗
Ferrari 458 Italia 2010 Ferrari 458 Italia Coupe RWD $1,332,888 4,580 5.42 view ↗
McLaren 720S 2021 McLaren 720S $599,995 1,927 5.42 view ↗
Ferrari 488 Spider 2018 Ferrari 488 Spider RWD $590,000 441 5.1 view ↗
Bentley Continental GT (Mk2, 2011-2018) 2015 Bentley Continental GT GT3-R AWD $205,195 1,500 4.69 view ↗
Ferrari 488 GTB 2018 Ferrari 488 GTB Coupe RWD $547,490 943 4.55 view ↗
Aston Martin Vanquish (classic, 2001-2018) 2018 Aston Martin Vanquish Zagato Coupe RWD $449,950 2,775 4.15 view ↗
Ferrari 812 GTS 2021 Ferrari 812 GTS RWD $1,380,000 8,246 4.1 view ↗
Ferrari F8 Tributo 2022 Ferrari F8 Tributo RWD $696,500 3,102 4.04 view ↗
Lamborghini Revuelto 2025 Lamborghini Revuelto AWD $950,995 — 4.01 view ↗
Huracan STO 2024 Lamborghini Huracan STO Coupe RWD $1,995,705 226 3.99 view ↗
Ferrari F12 Berlinetta 2017 Ferrari F12 Berlinetta Coupe $989,895 635 3.94 view ↗
Bentley Continental GT (Mk2, 2011-2018) 2015 Bentley Continental GT GT3-R AWD $174,890 9,040 3.62 view ↗
McLaren Artura Coupe 2026 McLaren Artura RWD $345,938 — 3.61 view ↗
McLaren GT 2023 McLaren GT RWD $209,995 85 3.58 view ↗
Aston Martin Vantage (2018+) 2023 Aston Martin Vantage V12 Convertible RWD $319,675 2,203 3.51 view ↗
Aston Martin Vantage (2018+) 2023 Aston Martin Vantage V12 Convertible RWD $319,995 482 3.51 view ↗
Porsche Cayenne Turbo GT 2026 Porsche Cayenne Turbo GT AWD $264,999 4,754 3.16 view ↗
Aston Martin DB12 2026 Aston Martin DB12 S RWD $319,890 722 3.15 view ↗
Bentley Continental GTC (Mk2, 2011-2018) 2016 Bentley Continental GTC W12 AWD $139,900 3,851 3.06 view ↗
Bentley Mulsanne 2017 Bentley Mulsanne Speed RWD $159,900 3,693 3.01 view ↗
Ferrari 812 GTS 2023 Ferrari 812 GTS Convertible RWD $1,249,995 4,229 2.99 view ↗
Ferrari 812 GTS 2023 Ferrari 812 GTS Convertible RWD $1,250,000 134 2.99 view ↗
911 GT3 Coupe (992.1, wing) 2024 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $309,980 977 2.95 view ↗
Ferrari 812 Superfast 2019 Ferrari 812 Superfast RWD $799,000 5,676 2.94 view ↗
Lamborghini Urus SE (PHEV) 2026 Lamborghini Urus SE AWD $330,000 941 2.92 view ↗
McLaren GTS 2026 McLaren GTS RWD $210,000 3,515 2.91 view ↗
911 GT3 (991.2 wing, 2018-2019) 2018 Porsche 911 GT3 Coupe RWD $299,990 858 2.9 view ↗