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"reduction_prob_21d": 0.7, "expected_drop_pct": 0.05, "expected_drop_dollars": 6900.0, "buy_signal": "Aspirational"}], "hedonic_best": [], "hedonic_worst": [], "dom_price_matrix": [{"band": "0\u201325%", "price_lo": 57895.0, "price_hi": 67289.5, "n": 2, "median_dom": 126.0, "mean_dom": 126.0}, {"band": "25\u201350%", "price_lo": 67289.5, "price_hi": 79998.0, "n": 2, "median_dom": 13.0, "mean_dom": 13.0}, {"band": "50\u201375%", "price_lo": 79998.0, "price_hi": 88745.0, "n": 2, "median_dom": 17.0, "mean_dom": 17.0}, {"band": "75\u2013100%", "price_lo": 88745.0, "price_hi": 137998.0, "n": 2, "median_dom": 136.5, "mean_dom": 136.5}], "dealer_leaderboard": [{"dealer": "Ferrari of Rancho Mirage", "active": 1, "share": 0.125, "median_price": 57895.0}, {"dealer": "Elite Motor Cars", "active": 1, "share": 0.125, "median_price": 59990.0}, {"dealer": "Performance Toyota", "active": 1, "share": 0.125, "median_price": 74589.0}, {"dealer": "Motorenn Inc", "active": 1, "share": 0.125, 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null, "sell_through_pct": 0.0, "top_specifics": ["Silver Blonde"]}, {"family": "Gray", "n_active": 1, "n_sold": 0, "n_total": 1, "median_price": 74589.0, "median_dom_active": 8.0, "median_dom_at_sale": null, "sell_through_pct": 0.0, "top_specifics": ["Gray"]}, {"family": "Other", "n_active": 1, "n_sold": 0, "n_total": 1, "median_price": 87995.0, "median_dom_active": 16.0, "median_dom_at_sale": null, "sell_through_pct": 0.0, "top_specifics": ["Casino Royale"]}], "market_state": {"state": "Softening", "state_score": -0.506, "reasons": ["Median price slope $-386/d (90d, R\u00b2=0.72) \u2192 -35pts", "Inventory +18% (recent vs early window) \u2192 -23pts", "0% of active inventory has been cut \u2192 +8pts", "Median DOM 46d \u2192 -1pts"], "median_ask": 79998.0, "confidence_adjusted_price": 80000.0, "expected_haircut_pct": 0.0, "median_dom": 46.0, "inv_change_pct": 0.18023255813953482, "cuts_share": 0.0, "sell_through_pct": 0, "liquidity_score": 47, "n_active": 8, "n_delisted": 0, "robust_outliers_excluded": 0, "robust_price_band": [0, null], "bat": {"recent_sales": [{"title": "14k-Mile 2015 Aston Martin V8 Vantage GT 6-Speed", "price": 91500, "date": "2026-09-25", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2015-aston-martin-v8-vantage-gt-20/", "mileage": "14k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "12k-Mile 2015 Aston Martin V8 Vantage GT Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 100500, "date": "2026-09-16", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2015-aston-martin-v8-vantage-gt-19/", "mileage": "12k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "Original-Owner 2010 Aston Martin V8 Vantage Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 52000, "date": "2026-08-11", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2010-aston-martin-v8-vantage-22/", "mileage": "57k miles", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "13k-Mile 2015 Aston Martin V8 Vantage GT Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 80500, "date": "2026-06-29", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2015-aston-martin-v8-vantage-gt-18/", "mileage": "13k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "32k-Mile 2010 Aston Martin V8 Vantage Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 69777, "date": "2026-06-23", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2010-aston-martin-v8-vantage-21/", "mileage": "32k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "39k-Mile 2015 Aston Martin V8 Vantage GT Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 74000, "date": "2026-06-16", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2015-aston-martin-v8-vantage-gt-17/", "mileage": "39k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "6k-Mile 2014 Aston Martin V8 Vantage S Roadster 6-Speed", "price": 92000, "date": "2026-04-07", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2014-aston-martin-v8-vantage-s-roadster-3/", "mileage": "6k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "2010 Aston Martin V8 Vantage Roadster 6-Speed", "price": 40250, "date": "2026-04-05", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2010-aston-martin-v8-vantage-roadster-7/", "mileage": "56k miles", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "7k-Mile 2016 Aston Martin V8 Vantage GTS Roadster 6-Speed", "price": 96000, "date": "2026-03-26", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2016-aston-martin-v8-vantage-gts-roadster-3/", "mileage": "7k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "13k-Mile 2015 Aston Martin V8 Vantage GT 6-Speed", "price": 78888, "date": "2026-03-13", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2015-aston-martin-v8-vantage-gt-15/", "mileage": "13k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "31k-Mile 2014 Aston Martin V8 Vantage S Centenary Edition Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 67507, "date": "2025-11-11", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2014-aston-martin-v8-vantage-s-7/", "mileage": "31k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "9k-Mile 2012 Aston Martin V8 Vantage Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 60500, "date": "2025-09-17", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2012-aston-martin-v8-vantage-9/", "mileage": "9k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "18k-Mile 2014 Aston Martin V8 Vantage Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 62007, "date": "2025-08-16", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2014-aston-martin-v8-vantage-21/", "mileage": "18k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "32k-Mile 2013 Aston Martin V8 Vantage 6-Speed Coupe", "price": 64007, "date": "2025-07-23", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2013-aston-martin-v8-vantage-8/", "mileage": "32k-Mile", "source": "bat"}, {"title": "16k-Mile 2014 Aston Martin V8 Vantage Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 55000, "date": "2025-07-16", "url": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2014-aston-martin-v8-vantage-20/", "mileage": "16k-Mile", "source": "bat"}], "other_sales": [], "other_counts": {}, "intl_sales": [{"title": "11k-Mile 2013 Aston Martin V8 Vantage Coupe 6-Speed", "price": 72500, "date": "2021-09-18", "url": "sold", "mileage": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2013-aston-martin-vantage-10/", "source": "bat", "source_label": "Bring a Trailer", "country": "CA"}], "intl_counts": {"bat": 1}, "n_sold_intl": 1, "classified": [], "n_classified": 0, "by_year": {"2010": {"n": 10, "median": 57250.0}, "2011": {"n": 6, "median": 59250.0}, "2012": {"n": 1, "median": 60500.0}, "2013": {"n": 5, "median": 64007.0}, "2014": {"n": 10, "median": 72503.5}, "2015": {"n": 15, "median": 74000.0}, "2016": {"n": 9, "median": 78200.0}}, "sales_series": [["2026-09-25", 91500], ["2026-09-16", 100500], ["2026-08-11", 52000], ["2026-06-29", 80500], ["2026-06-23", 69777], ["2026-06-16", 74000], ["2026-04-07", 92000], ["2026-04-05", 40250], ["2026-03-26", 96000], ["2026-03-13", 78888], ["2025-11-11", 67507], ["2025-09-17", 60500], ["2025-08-16", 62007], ["2025-07-23", 64007], ["2025-07-16", 55000], ["2025-06-25", 60000], ["2025-06-16", 50000], ["2025-06-07", 77000], ["2025-06-04", 45000], ["2025-05-26", 55500], ["2025-04-17", 65000], ["2025-04-08", 71500], ["2025-01-20", 67000], ["2024-11-13", 70500], ["2024-11-05", 58500], ["2024-09-09", 78200], ["2024-08-31", 69000], ["2024-08-30", 64007], ["2024-08-08", 66500], ["2024-06-28", 64700], ["2024-05-20", 73800], ["2024-04-02", 69000], ["2024-02-21", 60000], ["2024-01-27", 62000], ["2023-09-18", 70500], ["2023-09-11", 69000], ["2023-09-08", 45360], ["2023-08-05", 65000], ["2023-07-22", 81000], ["2023-07-13", 59000], ["2023-06-23", 86509], ["2023-04-09", 81100], ["2023-03-07", 85200], ["2023-01-23", 80000], ["2022-12-23", 73000], ["2022-11-22", 75000], ["2022-11-04", 66000], ["2022-07-28", 78500], ["2022-05-14", 91502], ["2022-04-28", 78000], ["2022-03-29", 78500], ["2022-03-18", 85000], ["2021-07-05", 71207], ["2021-04-02", 61000], ["2020-04-09", 50000], ["2019-04-10", 57500]], "bat_model_query": "aston-martin-v8-vantage", "median_sold_all": 69000.0, "median_sold_6mo": 77250.0, "n_sold_all": 56, "n_sold_6mo": 6, "rnm_rate": 0.17391304347826086, "trim_filter": {"include": null, "exclude": null, "matched_rows": 69}}, "sentiment": {"score": -0.215, "verdict": "Stable", "components": [-1.0, -0.36046511627906963, 1.0, -0.5], "distinct_days": 15}}, "act_now_signal": {"verdict": "Wait", "verdict_reason": "Cuts are widespread and sell-through is low \u2014 better prices likely in the next 30-60d.", "confidence": "medium", "signals": [{"label": "Median ask", "value": "$79,998", "tone": "neutral", "tooltip": "Across 8 active used listings"}, {"label": "Ask vs auction", "value": "+4%", "tone": "neutral", "tooltip": "Dealer median vs BaT 6mo median ($77,250). Sustained premiums around 10% are dealer-anchoring territory."}, {"label": "Active with cuts", "value": "0%", "tone": "good", "tooltip": "Share of currently-active listings we've seen reduced \u2014 softness signal."}, {"label": "Sell-through", "value": "0%", "tone": "warn", "tooltip": "Delisted / (delisted + active) over the trailing window. Low = stagnant lot."}, {"label": "Inventory \u0394", "value": "+18%", "tone": "bad", "tooltip": "Active count change vs 7d ago. Rising = supply pressure on dealers."}], "ctas": [{"label": "Watch for cuts on stale rows", "tone": "warn"}]}, "value_signal": {"state": "appreciating", "label": "Rising", "confidence": "low", "basis": "sold", "n": 13, "bins": 4, "span_months": 12.0, "window_months": 12.0, "trend_pct": 0.3667, "recent_pct": 0.1468, "older_pct": 0.2659, "level_now": 88100.0, "reason": "+37% over 12 months from 13 auction sales", "series": [[13.5, 62007], [7.5, 85444], [4.5, 74000], [1.5, 91500]], "projections": [{"years": 1, "bear": 95000.0, "base": 119000.0, "bull": 149000.0}, {"years": 3, "bear": 89000.0, "base": 160000.0, "bull": 288000.0}, {"years": 5, "bear": 108000.0, "base": 217000.0, "bull": 433000.0}], "as_of": "2026-10-11"}, "pricing_compass": {"anchor_value": 77250.0, "anchor_label": "BaT (6mo sold)", "points": [{"label": "Asking P25", "kind": "ask", "value": 67289.5, "delta": -0.12893851132686085}, {"label": "Asking median", "kind": "ask", "value": 79998.0, "delta": 0.03557281553398058}, {"label": "Asking P75", "kind": "ask", "value": 88745.0, "delta": 0.14880258899676374}, {"label": "Confidence-adjusted", "kind": "model", "value": 80000.0, "delta": 0.03559870550161812}, {"label": "Hedonic fair (median listing)", "kind": "model", "value": null, "delta": null}, {"label": "BaT median (6mo)", "kind": "auction", "value": 77250.0, "delta": 0.0}, {"label": "BaT median (all-time)", "kind": "auction", "value": 69000.0, "delta": -0.10679611650485436}]}, "movers": [], "spec_premium": [], "listing_snapshots": {"443519970": {"listed_at": "2026-03-26", "last_seen_at": "2026-10-11", "is_sold": false, "obs": [["2026-10-11", 137998]]}, "446518742": {"listed_at": "2026-04-28", "last_seen_at": "2026-10-11", "is_sold": false, "obs": [["2026-10-11", 59990]]}, "453668204": {"listed_at": "2026-07-17", "last_seen_at": "2026-10-11", "is_sold": false, "obs": [["2026-10-11", 57895]]}, "454642798": {"listed_at": "2026-07-29", "last_seen_at": "2026-10-11", "is_sold": false, "obs": [["2026-10-11", 89495]]}, "459639541": {"listed_at": "2026-09-23", "last_seen_at": "2026-10-11", "is_sold": false, "obs": [["2026-10-11", 79998]]}, "459907854": {"listed_at": "2026-09-25", "last_seen_at": "2026-10-11", "is_sold": false, "obs": [["2026-10-11", 87995]]}, "460694595": {"listed_at": "2026-10-03", "last_seen_at": "2026-10-11", "is_sold": false, "obs": [["2026-10-11", 74589]]}}}